Our method · Updated 2026-10-15
How our SMC/ICT signals are built
Every TebotechSignals trade is found by our engine using Smart Money Concepts and ICT price action only — no RSI, no MACD, no moving averages. A setup becomes a signal only when it passes all six checks below. Setups in a well-mixed market, measured with permutation entropy from information theory, are graded A+. If one fails, nothing is sent.
1.H4 market structure
The 4-hour chart must show a clear trend: higher highs and higher lows for buys, lower highs and lower lows for sells, confirmed by a break of structure. No moving averages, no oscillators — only swing highs and swing lows.
2.Dealing range: discount or premium
We mark the last H4 impulse leg as the dealing range. The limit order sits at its equilibrium (50%): buys only in the discount half, sells only in the premium half. We never chase price.
3.H1 retracement
On the 1-hour chart, price must already be pulling back — in the discount half of the last 14 hourly candles for buys, the premium half for sells. The 1-hour chart only times the entry; the trade idea comes from the 4-hour chart.
4.Institutional value line
Banks judge their execution against the day's average price. Spot forex has no central volume, so we use yesterday's time-weighted average price (TWAP): buys must enter below it, sells above it.
5.Smart-money footprint
The move must show where large orders acted: either the H4 leg started with a liquidity sweep (a raid on the previous lows or highs where stops sit), or an unfilled H1 fair value gap sits at the entry.
6.Market regime (optimal transport)
We measure how far the last two days of price behaviour have moved away from the two weeks before, using the Wasserstein distance from optimal transport theory. When the market is quiet and unchanged, structure entries historically only broke even, so those setups are skipped.
Risk management on every trade
- Stop loss beyond the start of the H4 leg — if price gets there, the structure is broken and the idea is wrong.
- Three targets at 1R, 2R and 3R. Half closes at the first target and the stop moves to entry, so a winner can't turn into a loser.
- Limit orders only. If price never comes back to the entry within 48 hours, the signal expires.
- One trade per pair at a time, sent between 07:00 and 19:00 South Africa time (London and New York sessions).
Live track record
21
closed trades
38%
winners
-5.68R
total
-0.27R
per trade
Every signal the engine has published and closed, tracked automatically against live prices, wins and losses. R is the amount risked per trade: −1R is a full stop loss. Full list on the performance page. Past results do not guarantee future results.
Questions
Do your signals use RSI, MACD or moving averages?
No. Since 15 October 2026 the engine uses only price structure: H4 market structure, the dealing range and its equilibrium, the H1 retracement, yesterday's average price, liquidity sweeps and fair value gaps.
Which timeframes do you use?
The 4-hour chart decides direction, the dealing range and the stop. The 1-hour chart only times the entry. Trades usually run for one to several days.
How many signals do you send?
About 5 a week across gold, the majors, the rand pairs and the euro crosses. Some weeks have more, some fewer, because a signal is only sent when all six checks pass.
Where are the stop loss and targets?
The stop goes beyond the start of the H4 leg. Targets are 1R, 2R and 3R (R = the distance to the stop). Half the position closes at the first target and the stop moves to entry.
How do I know the results are real?
Every signal is tracked automatically against market prices and published on the performance page — wins and losses — the moment it closes.
See the method in today's signals
Each signal lists the checks it passed, with entry, stop and three targets.
Trading forex, gold and CFDs carries a high risk of losing money. Signals are educational and are not financial advice. Risk only what you can afford to lose — 1% or less per trade.
Results are tracked automatically from market data, not edited by hand.